What the number means
Each percentage estimates national vote share among the population the pollster models as likely or eligible voters.
Updated
LATEST UK OPINION POLLS · 21 OCTOBER 2026
Latest UK opinion polls
Labour leads the seven-poll average by 5.3 points.
The average uses the seven most recent included Great Britain voting-intention polls. It is a snapshot of measured opinion, not an election prediction.
LAB27.3%
REF22.0%
CON21.6%
LD10.0%
GRN8.9%
UK voting intention over time
→
Showing 3 Jan 2023 to 21 Oct 2026 · 752 daily points
21 Oct 2026LAB 27.3%LD 10.0%GRN 8.9%CON 21.6%REF 22.0%
SEVEN LATEST POLLS
The records behind the average
Dates, samples and source links are retained so each figure can be checked at source.
| Published | Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | LAB | REF | CON | LD | GRN | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| More in Common | 16 Oct to 19 Oct | 3,069 | 28% | 22% | 23% | 10% | 8% | More in Common release ↗ | |
| Electoral Calculus / Find Out Now | 22 Sept to 12 Oct | 10,684 | 25% | 22% | 19% | 11% | 9% | Electoral Calculus / Find Out Now release ↗ | |
| Deltapoll | 16 Oct to 19 Oct | 2,092 | 30% | 24% | 22% | 7% | 8% | Deltapoll release ↗ | |
| YouGovThe Times and Sky News | 18 Oct to 19 Oct | 2,520 | 27% | 22% | 23% | 11% | 10% | YouGov release ↗ | |
| Electoral Calculus / Find Out NowPLMR | 25 Sept to 2 Oct | 6,600 | 28% | 21% | 18% | 10% | 9% | Electoral Calculus / Find Out Now release ↗ | |
| Find Out Now | 14 Oct to 14 Oct | 2,482 | 25% | 22% | 22% | 10% | 11% | Find Out Now release ↗ | |
| More in Common | 9 Oct to 12 Oct | 2,101 | 28% | 21% | 24% | 11% | 7% | More in Common release ↗ |
Where YouGov figures appear: Source: YouGov plc, 2026, © All rights reserved. Each poll links to its original release; read the public data licence ↗
What it cannot show
A national poll does not directly predict 650 local contests, turnout, tactical voting or opinion after the fieldwork ended.
How it is calculated
Each included poll receives equal weight. Missing party values are excluded only from that party's calculation.