Updated
UK PARLIAMENTARY BY-ELECTION · 18 JUNE 2026
Arbroath & Broughty Ferry by-election result
Lara Bird · SNP hold
Winning vote share41.2%
SNP finished 22.2 points ahead of Conservative, on 31.3% turnout.
Who won?
Lara Bird won for SNP. The majority was 5,278 votes.
Did the seat change hands?
No. SNP held the seat.
Was it a surprise?
Expected hold. The SNP entered as the incumbent and converted a narrow 2024 win into a comfortable hold in a low-turnout contest.
WHAT IT TELLS US
Read the local result in context
Reform rose sharply but finished just behind the Conservatives. The split on the right helped the SNP widen its lead, showing how fragmented opposition can protect an incumbent.
A by-election changes one MP. Turnout, candidates and local circumstances can differ sharply from a general election, so this result is not a national voting-intention poll.
SOURCE
Check the published result
Result figures come from UK Parliament or the relevant returning officer. Expected-versus-surprise labels and trend notes are Road to 326 editorial judgements, based on the previous result, vote-share movement and the circumstances of each contest; they are not probabilities or official classifications.